Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf5c2e39cba0f82da69d671db0529ee769ca1f1d32d15d77809568cead57c53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Victoria Mboko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Victoria Mboko | 15c | 43,495$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 30,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Victoria Mboko | 14c | 25,086$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 72c | 19,037$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 18,465$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.93 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 16,000$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Victoria Mboko | 13c | 14,228$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 13,927$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.59 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 12,421$9,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.47 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Victoria Mboko | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.93 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 9,211$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.53 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 9,091$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.46 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 8,476$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.48 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Aryna Sabalenka | 71c | 8,397$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Victoria Mboko | 24c | 7,500$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Aryna Sabalenka | 70c | 7,487$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.17 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 7,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…ba1cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 6,564$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 6,499$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.87 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 6,495$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.35 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Victoria Mboko | 16c | 4,285$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 3,900$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Victoria Mboko | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Victoria Mboko | 8c | 3,188$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 2,599$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.68 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…d3ffbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 2,591$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 2,590$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Victoria Mboko | 1c | 2,530$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Victoria Mboko | 13c | 2,430$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 2,277$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 2,272$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.45 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 2,043$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 2,004$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.92 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,938$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.36 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,902$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 70c | 1,880$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f420backed Victoria Mboko | 12c | 1,866$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 1,788$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 1,571$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.56 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Victoria Mboko | 1c | 1,527$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 75c | 1,477$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Aryna Sabalenka | 70c | 1,427$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,420$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,400$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.7 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…744bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,353$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,306$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.27 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…48c6backed Victoria Mboko | 31c | 1,298$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Victoria Mboko | 25c | 1,247$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…5ffabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,203$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Victoria Mboko | 6c | 1,193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,132$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 1,108$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 75c | 1,100$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Victoria Mboko | 23c | 1,092$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Victoria Mboko | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 1,046$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Victoria Mboko | 24c | 1,042$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Victoria Mboko | 27c | 1,031$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Victoria Mboko | 20c | 1,008$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Victoria Mboko | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Victoria Mboko | 14c | 979.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Victoria Mboko | 14c | 976.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Victoria Mboko | 12c | 931.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Victoria Mboko | 23c | 918.7$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…92a0backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…1efcbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 78c | 889.26$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 69c | 863.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Aryna Sabalenka | 73c | 820.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Victoria Mboko | 24c | 811.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Victoria Mboko | 31c | 806.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Victoria Mboko | 19c | 790.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Victoria Mboko | 20c | 754.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…69d4backed Victoria Mboko | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 748.42$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Victoria Mboko | 27c | 745.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…614fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 72c | 693.04$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Victoria Mboko | 28c | 663$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 659.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 658.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 652.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Victoria Mboko | 15c | 650.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e420backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 650.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Victoria Mboko | 22c | 642.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Victoria Mboko | 22c | 638.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Victoria Mboko | 25c | 600.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 600.78$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Victoria Mboko | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Victoria Mboko | 5c | 518.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokothis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Mboko: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs MbokoSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.