TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70a2…6abe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$163.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$183.02
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+858%+$811.85
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$341.78
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.75
Miami Open: Alexandra Eala vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$189.13
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.