Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277a1851d0bc6a13b0ab258d81117ccaef7824a11fc12d463e3cc4df2068311a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $813,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,497 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 0c | 99,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 9c | 50,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 0c | 29,739$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 28,939$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.13 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked Yes | 9c | 28,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 9c | 21,956$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 20,289$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.45 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 9c | 17,218$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.63 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…0e43backed Yes | 11c | 13,327$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 9c | 7,533$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.06 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 10c | 7,281$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…da1abacked Yes | 8c | 5,433$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 5,100$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 2c | 4,880$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,799$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed Yes | 11c | 4,450$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 5c | 4,369$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 8c | 4,333$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.64 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 7c | 4,300$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,583$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 8c | 3,081$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 7c | 3,022$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 10c | 2,551$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 6c | 2,389$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 9c | 2,167$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 9c | 2,001$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,983$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,919$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…6952backed Yes | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…9720backed Yes | 2c | 1,856$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 6c | 1,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…370abacked Yes | 4c | 1,693$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 1c | 1,631$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,566$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 9c | 1,557$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 9c | 1,478$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,370$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4e…bf9bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…0e95backed Yes | 9c | 1,240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,209$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,147$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…a21abacked Yes | 9c | 1,130$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…551dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…0d19backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…df4abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 9c | 1,091$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,089$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,046$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…0842backed Yes | 9c | 1,041$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 9c | 1,038$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 9c | 1,011$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Yes | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 6c | 972.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 9c | 960$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 9c | 918$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 1c | 917.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 5c | 833.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 9c | 813.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 9c | 811.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…5826backed Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Yes | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 1c | 799.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 9c | 790$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…25a8backed Yes | 10c | 774.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Yes | 9c | 694.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 5c | 694.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Yes | 8c | 674.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 8c | 653$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 3c | 629.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…4485backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 5c | 623.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes | 9c | 604.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.