Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2e20f374b80b0d545d8bef8a0144aa4673a8ee3a49bfe619d12250c1def0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 15,195$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.18 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 10,590$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.79 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,525$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.02 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 17c | 5,979$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 17c | 4,906$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 16c | 3,163$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 79c | 2,605$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.03 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 2,431$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 17c | 2,300$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 3c | 2,245$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 15c | 2,179$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.91 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,935$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.74 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 1c | 1,586$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…8883backed Yes | 11c | 1,569$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 1,390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,201$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 1,190$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 16c | 1,090$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 15c | 999.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Yes | 11c | 992$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 17c | 941.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 12c | 863.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 816.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a3…8046backed Yes | 12c | 799.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 678$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 16c | 668.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 591.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 574.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 15c | 559.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 16c | 488.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 480.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 17c | 409.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 25c | 406.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 16c | 380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 16c | 356.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Yes | 16c | 322.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 16c | 322.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Yes | 16c | 312$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…7575backed Yes | 16c | 305.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 17c | 300.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…041cbacked Yes | 12c | 297.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…ddc8backed Yes | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 9c | 247$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 13c | 233.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…142fbacked Yes | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 23c | 217.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 17c | 214.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 17c | 212.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 17c | 205.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 13c | 200.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…d8ecbacked Yes | 16c | 192$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 17c | 189.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Yes | 16c | 186.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…7c9dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…5432backed Yes | 11c | 180.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 16c | 176$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…0eccbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 15c | 151$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 151$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…edbdbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…4af1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…d594backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…3381backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…822bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…5f98backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…1dacbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.