TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x702b…dede

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$833.05
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,914.55
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,468.97
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$932
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$4,752
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,278.95
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$538.62
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,534
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,083
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+299.3%+$4,190.88
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$332
Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$615
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$997
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$3,299.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,150
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,651
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$3,200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,091
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,717
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$982
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$768
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$4,055.56
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,194
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+299.7%+$1,431.16
Will Mirassol FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.72
Will EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.4
Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
Will CA Paranaense vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,464
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,285.71
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,443
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.7%+$2,936.17
Will Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+275.7%+$634.04
Will Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+246.3%+$3,693.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$817
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$894
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$819
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$831
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$834
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$641
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,274
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+354.7%+$2,706.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,503
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$791.48
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$4,908
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,445
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,464
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+284.7%+$2,428.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$2,416.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.