TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked No72c53,817$38,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,068.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c18,554$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.112,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c18,340$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.596,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes28c7,072$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c4,196$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.9585748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.679350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes28c3,915$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.265442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes27c3,873$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.654533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c3,858$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.441,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes28c3,134$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.521216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes28c2,765$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,747$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c1,239$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes13c944.42$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes22c894.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c802$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5610626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes8c794.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.962,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No80c764.35$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c521backed Yes16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes28c643.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.272231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No72c636.11$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.112755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c557.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.944,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes9c544.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed No72c499.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c455.23$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.621,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes22c454.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes28c446.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0660445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.966100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c375$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c335.7$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No72c335$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.87176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes12c332.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked No72c312$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes13c308.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c297$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.181,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No73c272$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed No73c267.24$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.353447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes28c263$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.641735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a6a6backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…bc60backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes29c210.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes28c194.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3423250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes17c176.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes29c175.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes28c163.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes28c160$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.114754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c155.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3925052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Yes18c137.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+129.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9917053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c136.93$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7536563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c136$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…3482backed Yes28c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes28c126$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked No73c123.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c122$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ec…fdb7backed Yes18c119.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No71c119.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5413847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes27c113.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee24…002ebacked Yes28c112$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c108.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3620246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes29c104.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.412639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes27c99.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes21c99.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8710341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e4…a17cbacked No72c93.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c91.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40e…ae75backed Yes29c76.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…119dbacked Yes20c75.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…0f82backed Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.