TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87fe…875b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$20.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.63
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$29.65
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$43.78
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.71
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$8.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+158.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.19
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+417.5%+$83.53
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800.53
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44%+$179.55
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+415.5%+$2,408.97
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+3,603.7%+$521.25
US forces enter Iran by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+375.2%+$74.69
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.13
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42.06
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.63
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+82.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$6.36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$24.65
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,236.1%+$360.96
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$249.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.86
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.38
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.24
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.35
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+227.9%+$69.49
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$150.64
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+74.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-69.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+129.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$13.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$24.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.