NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228882ef15410cda88ae94b6fee134e87de5360d8439cf7901b2a0f8ddd2081b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Golden Knights, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,018,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights | 57c | 197,180$112,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,492.53 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 177,221$102,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,788.17 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 42c | 167,344$70,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,059.38 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 43c | 120,265$51,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,550.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Penguins | 43c | 80,000$34,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 76,307$43,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,494.81 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Penguins | 42c | 40,476$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,476.18 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 27,205$15,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,778.9 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 43c | 15,665$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,006.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 43c | 11,836$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.63 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Golden Knights | 57c | 11,650$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 43c | 9,303$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.16 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Penguins | 42c | 8,500$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.93 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Golden Knights | 8c | 6,766$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.35 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 6c | 6,201$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 6,034$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Penguins | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Penguins | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.96 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 0c | 4,891$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 1c | 4,740$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 43c | 4,687$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…e391backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,506$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Penguins | 76c | 3,676$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.12 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 5c | 3,634$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Penguins | 42c | 3,220$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.1 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 3,215$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 2,987$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 61c | 2,792$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 64c | 2,783$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,604$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.54 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.1 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 43c | 2,460$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.2 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Penguins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 42c | 2,300$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.48 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 31c | 2,220$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 76c | 2,120$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.52 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…5c94backed Penguins | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4a…de1fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4b0bbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…a22cbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8c8backed Penguins | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…0386backed Penguins | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…cc37backed Penguins | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…75f9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…b8debacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…4325backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38a…b46ebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd481…ab69backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…4682backed Penguins | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…c57ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…7934backed Penguins | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…79f2backed Penguins | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…7a96backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…9191backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…6ae2backed Penguins | 42c | 1,990$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…6e16backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,990$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…05acbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,980$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…89dabacked Penguins | 42c | 1,980$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…cc57backed Penguins | 42c | 1,975$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…fe57backed Penguins | 42c | 1,975$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…36d3backed Penguins | 42c | 1,975$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…3bdabacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,975$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…1712backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,975$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…770abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,975$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…0162backed Penguins | 42c | 1,970$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…b246backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,970$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…4a00backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,970$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…ca6abacked Penguins | 42c | 1,970$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…4f1fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,970$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…c377backed Penguins | 42c | 1,970$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…683fbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,970$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f2…bd2abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,970$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…5327backed Penguins | 42c | 1,970$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…b1f8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,970$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…e40fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,965$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…3ffdbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,965$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…e181backed Penguins | 42c | 1,965$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0e85backed Penguins | 42c | 1,965$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…926ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,965$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…93a3backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,965$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…ab3abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,960$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…5c6ebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,960$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…b218backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,960$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…bac2backed Penguins | 42c | 1,960$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…7054backed Penguins | 42c | 1,955$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…6a83backed Penguins | 42c | 1,955$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf8…96bebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,955$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f073backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,955$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Penguinsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.