NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1d8481b5a809a4806c07e24976effa7b33a69891651b7cfc4d434e7386fac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 521,215$268,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268,551.98 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 200,126$96,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,883.78 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 44,975$21,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,544.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 28,833$14,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,792.2 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 20,082$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,241.63 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…edd0backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.2 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 3,841$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.35 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 3,500$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.55 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 2,799$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.5 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 1,711$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.53 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,640$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 46c | 779.66$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 679.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 55c | 642.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 626.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.29 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 30c | 457.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 368.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.86 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…0fb9backed Over | 42c | 244.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…a45cbacked Under | 57c | 194.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 186.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 54c | 143.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 57c | 129.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 123.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 85.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 82.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…e19abacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 34c | 77.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 53c | 76.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 49c | 74.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd527…460fbacked Over | 51c | 60.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 58.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Under | 48c | 55.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…fb8cbacked Under | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 51c | 50.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…be96backed Under | 48c | 43.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 41.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 47c | 37.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…ab1ebacked Under | 50c | 37.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Under | 49c | 35.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…b402backed Over | 52c | 34.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 46c | 33.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 28.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 48c | 27.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 26.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 49c | 25.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 51c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a622backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…ff79backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Over | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.