TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0235…472e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 65 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3582.9%29 W · 6 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+57.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$69.6
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$21.07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.7
Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78%+$23.66
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.4%+$20.5
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+169.2%+$22
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+141.2%+$19.32
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$22.05
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.29
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$41.98
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.17
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.2
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.45
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$13.28
Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+64.2%+$7.04
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+55%+$8.52
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+55.4%+$6.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$13.62
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53%+$5.92
Czechia vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.1%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.