NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75886f34a12d7315bb8f852703ac587d183c1d7fdf2a4c5668d9af6177200832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 59c | 716$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…f9a7backed Over | 56c | 715$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 712$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 707.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 440$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 6c | 419.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…904dbacked Under | 44c | 380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…9cf5backed Under | 44c | 335$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 246.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 43c | 198$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 176.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 43c | 165$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 121.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 34c | 110.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 73c | 101.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 82.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 71c | 66.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 44c | 50.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 57c | 33.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 41c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. PredatorsRed Wings won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.