NHL · resolved market
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7dbc51663fe2b2c591c5e99076584add93265026b42d0a72ea490adf98e1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Red Wings | 31c | 13,201$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,083.5 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Red Wings | 31c | 10,000$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,878.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 69c | 8,487$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 69c | 7,731$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.69 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 69c | 3,333$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 30c | 3,179$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.84 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 69c | 3,134$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Red Wings | 32c | 1,991$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.82 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,914$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Predators | 70c | 1,107$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.71 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Predators | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Predators | 69c | 868.63$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Predators | 69c | 856$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Predators | 69c | 799.06$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Predators | 72c | 695.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Predators | 64c | 471.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 35c | 395.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Predators | 53c | 369.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 30c | 332.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Predators | 9c | 314.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Predators | 70c | 227$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…56bcbacked Red Wings | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Predators | 67c | 196.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Predators | 50c | 191.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Red Wings | 31c | 174$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 63c | 154.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Predators | 57c | 147.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Predators | 51c | 146.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators | 71c | 136$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Red Wings | 31c | 107.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Red Wings | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Predators | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Red Wings | 43c | 72.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Red Wings | 31c | 72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Red Wings | 32c | 61.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Red Wings | 49c | 59.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Predators | 69c | 54.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Predators | 69c | 52.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Red Wings | 43c | 51.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 70c | 50.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Red Wings | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Predators | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Predators | 37c | 48.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5860…15d7backed Red Wings | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Predators | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Predators | 78c | 41.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Predators | 71c | 41.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Predators | 59c | 34.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Predators | 62c | 30.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Predators | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Red Wings | 50c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Predators | 72c | 25.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…6278backed Predators | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Predators | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Predators | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Predators | 71c | 15.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…78b0backed Predators | 70c | 14.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)this page
- Red Wings vs. PredatorsRed Wings won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.