NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb529f668ece4bca3d05ed34864e04d30f41061a1779522585957ec01085bbc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Red Wings | 52c | 213,314$110,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,602.98 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 51c | 160,380$81,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,690.15 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Predators | 49c | 125,229$61,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,306.09 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Predators | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 48c | 44,131$21,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,182.84 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 52c | 42,680$22,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,620.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 49c | 34,404$16,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,781.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Predators | 48c | 29,387$14,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,225.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Predators | 49c | 21,533$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,559.74 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 51c | 20,742$10,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,163.37 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 48c | 19,440$9,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,412.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Red Wings | 52c | 15,968$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,687.81 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 48c | 15,082$7,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,210.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Red Wings | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Predators | 48c | 10,022$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.54 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Predators | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Predators | 49c | 9,507$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.19 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Predators | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Predators | 49c | 7,652$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 46c | 6,941$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Predators | 47c | 6,305$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Red Wings | 53c | 6,234$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.98 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Red Wings | 51c | 5,484$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.07 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Predators | 22c | 5,248$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.64 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Red Wings | 68c | 5,176$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…74c3backed Red Wings | 50c | 5,149$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Predators | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Predators | 50c | 4,999$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.13 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,552$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Predators | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Predators | 48c | 4,440$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.17 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Red Wings | 78c | 4,185$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Predators | 49c | 4,142$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.09 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…0dc5backed Predators | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e756backed Predators | 49c | 4,030$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Predators | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Predators | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Predators | 49c | 4,000$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 58c | 3,953$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Predators | 49c | 3,746$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.87 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Predators | 31c | 3,736$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.97 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Predators | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…36a0backed Red Wings | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4a14backed Predators | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators | 48c | 3,620$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.54 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Red Wings | 51c | 3,564$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.31 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Predators | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 50c | 3,333$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.49 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 48c | 3,263$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,176$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 48c | 3,055$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.39 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Predators | 44c | 3,009$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.53 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Predators | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings | 34c | 3,000$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.02 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Predators | 49c | 3,000$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…3663backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Predators | 52c | 2,873$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,835$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.62 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Red Wings | 59c | 2,735$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.95 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…7d04backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,629$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…52b2backed Predators | 49c | 2,628$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…b279backed Predators | 50c | 2,501$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Predators | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Predators | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Predators | 51c | 2,498$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…b7d3backed Predators | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…54bfbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,369$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…1b61backed Red Wings | 51c | 2,316$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…679fbacked Predators | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators | 49c | 2,300$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.95 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…eacfbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,240$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,201$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.25 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…5a9bbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Predators | 20c | 2,028$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…ac6ebacked Predators | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.89 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…44c9backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,003$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Predators | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…c472backed Predators | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Red Wings | 76c | 1,972$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.83 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…c380backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.57 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…840ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…00dfbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,830$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Predators | 24c | 1,800$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.33 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…c31cbacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,769$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 48c | 1,651$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.33 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…99b3backed Predators | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da2…b118backed Predators | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,526$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.77 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,523$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.44 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Predators | 45c | 1,476$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,468$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.61 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Predators | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Predatorsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.