TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3383…c5c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT7837.2%29 W · 49 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$653.18
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.89
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.97
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$549.99
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$735
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,207.99
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,399.98
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,149.94
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$849.97
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,508
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$620
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$129.26
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,259.95
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,024.99
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$795
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,575
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,242
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,049.97
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$809.99
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,224.98
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,274.91
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,196
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$820
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,179.98
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$468
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$239.7
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$565
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$860
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$614.99
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$529.98
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$448
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$555
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$644.99
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$510
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$266
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$392
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$757.88
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$509.99
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$384
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$567
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$438
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,380
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,299.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,169.65
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$624
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+244.8%+$567.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$329.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$448
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$170.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$248
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.