NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf3d14b4bba775899f363e0eda8cf43e12f2a3a1c0f7e7a71242e3056970239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Canadiens, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,048,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,076,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,048,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Canadiens | 45c | 292,183$131,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,482.47 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,999.97 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 48c | 161,969$78,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,109.05 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Capitals | 56c | 59,316$33,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,941.58 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Capitals | 55c | 49,436$27,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,246.25 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 55c | 46,898$25,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,104.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Capitals | 55c | 37,220$20,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,748.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals | 54c | 25,356$13,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,663.55 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Canadiens | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 20,788$9,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,354.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 53c | 19,297$10,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens | 45c | 18,809$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.92 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 10c | 14,478$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,030.15 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 55c | 13,475$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.75 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Canadiens | 43c | 12,740$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 45c | 12,022$5,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canadiens | 45c | 11,893$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.85 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Capitals | 55c | 11,015$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 45c | 10,037$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.65 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 54c | 8,869$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 44c | 8,005$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.59 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 42c | 7,939$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Canadiens | 45c | 7,413$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Canadiens | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 24c | 6,621$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.48 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Canadiens | 50c | 6,543$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Capitals | 56c | 6,284$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.91 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Capitals | 59c | 6,225$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 55c | 6,173$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.56 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 57c | 5,908$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.36 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…3912backed Capitals | 55c | 5,383$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 16c | 5,272$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…3667backed Canadiens | 45c | 5,170$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Canadiens | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Capitals | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Capitals | 58c | 4,881$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.12 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…73cabacked Canadiens | 45c | 4,827$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 54c | 4,790$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.35 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…e4d2backed Capitals | 55c | 4,614$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Capitals | 55c | 4,275$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Capitals | 57c | 4,274$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.67 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 55c | 4,027$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,928$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,895$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Capitals | 31c | 3,840$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.89 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Capitals | 58c | 3,545$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.9 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Capitals | 55c | 3,534$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.45 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,510$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Canadiens | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Capitals | 28c | 3,262$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 56c | 3,261$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.16 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 58c | 3,177$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.44 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Capitals | 58c | 3,169$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.86 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Capitals | 58c | 3,154$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.68 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.95 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Capitals | 55c | 3,105$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 58c | 3,000$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Capitals | 58c | 2,995$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Capitals | 55c | 2,854$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.31 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 57c | 2,800$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,796$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.12 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 58c | 2,776$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.49 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 65c | 2,767$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c091backed Capitals | 59c | 2,725$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…491dbacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,725$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Capitals | 55c | 2,698$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Capitals | 55c | 2,514$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.45 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Capitals | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Capitals | 55c | 2,493$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Capitals | 55c | 2,480$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.15 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 56c | 2,426$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Capitals | 58c | 2,390$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,383$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Capitals | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Capitals | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Capitals | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.98 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 76c | 2,033$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,933$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Capitals | 58c | 1,898$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.21 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Capitals | 55c | 1,855$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 68c | 1,836$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.76 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Capitals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 56c | 1,812$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.57 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 16c | 1,751$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.27 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…9630backed Canadiens | 42c | 1,706$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Capitalsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.