TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfcbc…71c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,709Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,217.09
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+614.3%+$2,033.29
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$794
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$937
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$912.03
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,833
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,016.1
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$763.77
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,378
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.8%+$698.28
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,412.96
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$542.87
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,453
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,480
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$406.5
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,124
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,182
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,155
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,247.08
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,031
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,135
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,512.09
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$673.4
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$429.44
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,601
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,706.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,294
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$119.14
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$808.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$666.86
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$481.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$637.65
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$450.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,209.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,013
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$52.1
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,400.71
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+67.5%+$452.32
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$736.1
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,637
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,758
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$987.73
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,121.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+64.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$364.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$700.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,739
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.