Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef8568eccdadb98e187e5262b2341cf18a4c2f80e6c2d68edb7af04d2c675fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Yes | 44c | 537,208$237,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,049.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 173,823$97,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,377.37 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 56c | 80,000$44,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 62,500$34,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,700 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 38,315$21,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,479.08 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 32,774$18,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,488.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 24,867$13,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,925.6 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 24,706$13,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,908.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 56c | 12,000$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 57c | 11,703$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 7,159$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 56c | 7,028$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.86 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 6,241$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 26c | 6,010$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.93 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed No | 57c | 4,430$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 57c | 4,426$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.9 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 58c | 4,423$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 58c | 3,555$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +429.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 2,963$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.59 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 61c | 2,888$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.26 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 44c | 2,753$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 57c | 2,616$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 2,235$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.52 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 56c | 2,040$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.37 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,849$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed No | 58c | 1,762$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 56c | 1,547$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 1,419$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 1,145$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,100$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 42c | 1,095$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.33 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 62c | 1,022$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.42 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 999$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 819.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 56c | 800$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked No | 55c | 790.01$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 38c | 777.28$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 750$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Yes | 71c | 731.44$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 44c | 692.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 56c | 681$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 56c | 606.59$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 56c | 600$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.14 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 56c | 583.88$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 44c | 579.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 75c | 552.8$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 29c | 500$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked No | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 21c | 457.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed No | 56c | 447.88$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 420$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 420$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 56c | 420$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 56c | 405$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 56c | 400.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 57c | 390$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…62e5backed No | 60c | 376.63$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8539…c07cbacked Yes | 41c | 375.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 56c | 330$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 56c | 330$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 320$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…010cbacked No | 4c | 316.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 56c | 310.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 282.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 56c | 280$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Yes | 37c | 270.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 56c | 254$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.