TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes31c25,074$7,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,773.0210553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c20,423$13,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,672.463,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c12,511$8,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.375142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes32c9,465$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes30c8,333$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No66c8,000$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7602429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No68c7,915$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.897062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c7,356$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.671,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes30c6,073$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.029831.6%31 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8602441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+163.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes31c4,400$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.975653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Yes55c4,364$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes35c3,010$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.985923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes31c2,581$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes30c2,325$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.755940.7%24 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes56c1,724$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.516060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c1,651$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.8453645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No68c1,543$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes35c1,318$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.310945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes32c1,312$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.911843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No69c1,160$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.554856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c1,045$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.0335856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31048658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No66c999.93$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.986053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes33c999.34$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.784544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No68c803$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1344655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c782.28$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No69c609.39$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9130647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1865044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No69c599.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No69c599.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c581.01$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.221,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf208…3964backed Yes32c499.71$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No69c472$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c471.64$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0453140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes57c451.87$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12431145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Yes55c400$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes11c357$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes28c346.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes55c333.87$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.63955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c308$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4830054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569951.5%51 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes31c299.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2811056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c299.66$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.919446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked Yes31c295.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No65c286.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.382470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77c6…40c9backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcc…a65ebacked No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed No65c244.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes35c235.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.356428.1%18 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c211.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5756547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No74c203.7$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8523842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.083246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes31c193$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.833447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b49…69c1backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Yes27c159.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5133945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd784…26a3backed Yes31c141.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed No69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked No47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Yes32c135.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c130.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.412,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes34c125.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.27050%35 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes31c125.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.842147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No69c113.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8218746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes31c105.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.662326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes31c100.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.513548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.816045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Yes32c87.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.968169.1%56 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Yes13c86.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No64c84.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1176234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes38c84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.762254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Yes32c78.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.052556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Yes33c77.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.351573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+99.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes27c76.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.943154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.