TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2358…8986

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$99.18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$321.97
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$252.06
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$74.46
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.94
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$44.35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$414.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$88.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.23
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.34
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$100.19
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$28.27
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$239.96
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$59.68
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$478.84
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$134.84
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,473.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$633.93
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$146.08
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$153.41
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.1
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.51
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.17
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+74.6%+$1,864.32
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.9%+$126.36
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$357.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$203.42
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$121.85
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69.23
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.2%+$65.72
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$532.72
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$150.93
Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.96
Nets vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.98
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$333.8
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$85.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$101.22
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$301.3
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$464.57
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.96
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$323.46
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$499.54
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.6%+$1,220.17
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$76.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$268.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+219.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$78.6
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.8%+$85.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,911.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,064.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.