TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked No44c24,111$10,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,608.8315049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes56c23,099$12,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,163.3912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c18,786$11,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c10,108$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.831,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No44c9,288$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Yes24c8,500$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.993138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No46c8,000$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.522556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes57c4,364$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.321580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c3,729$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.994,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9714845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes56c1,790$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.67945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No42c1,730$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.011,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No43c1,428$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.073633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No44c1,230$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes54c1,148$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.047841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.862040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes45c839.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46211533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes57c802.75$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Yes56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked No61c595.04$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No42c519.22$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0719239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes59c510.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.172055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20512746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No44c499.98$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No43c475.51$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.476137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes58c439.79$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0311846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.039551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes59c419.92$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.171631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3413760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No42c396.47$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.529763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Yes58c377.93$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes58c334.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.697544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1478…d3aebacked Yes56c292.43$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3311…0637backed No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No46c229.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes61c209.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.923237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked No44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No40c203.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.571,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1342470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e7d…dacabacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8074156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9910051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes53c192.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5989152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes55c190$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.510459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f6…72f8backed Yes54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick36cpaid+286.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes57c175.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.323135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes59c172.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414040%16 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes42c167.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes54c157.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Yes49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.892437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Yes33c140.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.981637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.935554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5835347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…9277backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb027…888fbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes56c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0712048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb959…a1d7backed Yes59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes44c89.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.984047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ea…dcf4backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…5a04backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9da…06eebacked Yes56c86.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes59c85.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.926344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac16…bc6fbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff5…3324backed No45c81.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes30c79.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ef48backed Yes56c77.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.182951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed No43c75.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.524656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes36c73.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffe…a365backed Yes56c70.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.