Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92bbc7354da0f4757ca54a98367fc78f98cd9354e883d066bbd004e557ab386c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	35c	46,591$16,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,279.25	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,199.99	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	31c	9,310$2,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,913.1	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over	79c	4,659$3,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.91	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	75c	4,018$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.64	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over	74c	3,606$2,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.67	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	77c	2,588$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.24	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Over	79c	2,506$1,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.64	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	75c	2,478$1,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.43	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over	74c	2,430$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.8	48	81.3%39 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	76cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	75c	2,156$1,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over	77c	1,670$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.03	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	53c	1,574$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.22	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over	46c	1,565$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.81	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	74c	1,299$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.62	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over	49c	1,216$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.33	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under	25c	1,110$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.26	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over	60c	1,080$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over	35c	1,000$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+5.8wins	+0.22per pick	55cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over	40c	999$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.4	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	47c	839.05$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.02	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over	62c	800$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Over	78c	736.76$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.09	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	45c	700.23$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.63	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3977…b0b7backed Over	75c	666.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6718…1ef9backed Under	56c	622.32$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63e…1e0dbacked Over	74c	540$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Under	56c	530.8$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.25	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa133…1c7dbacked Over	36c	484.58$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.13	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+126.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	63c	470$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.6	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over	44c	442.46$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.63	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	46c	434.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.84	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Over	66c	411.2$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.81	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	68c	402.94$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.94	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd180…aa0cbacked Over	78c	400$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Under	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3904backed Over	78c	358.97$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.97	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Over	36c	357.56$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.84	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over	75c	343.92$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.98	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Under	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	74c	291.89$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.89	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	38c	287.94$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.11	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	51c	286.61$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.44	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Over	75c	267.8$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.95	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	65c	261.54$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.54	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over	51c	258.38$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.38	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	74c	256.76$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.76	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	35c	251.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over	76c	246.87$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over	74c	210$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	37c	203.72$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.13	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Under	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Over	69c	199.99$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over	77c	199.83$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.96	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Under	54c	199.17$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.55	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over	54c	197.5$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.85	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over	78c	160.26$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.26	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	74cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	39c	160$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under	32c	156.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	78c	150$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	60c	142.73$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.13	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over	45c	133.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…753cbacked Over	78c	129.49$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb06…c858backed Over	80c	129.1$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	22c	129$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over	79c	126.96$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	120.34$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.01	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	23c	115.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over	76c	107.76$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.17	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Over	75c	101.64$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.64	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a11…4b2abacked Over	70c	95.43$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Under	23c	92.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over	60c	86.67$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.67	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Under	24c	85.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	55c	81.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	53c	75.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.89	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under	21c	70$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	168	63.1%106 W · 62 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event