Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a477f4729a6cb207cfeef4e1cacfc16b49637b4d818e93462fa5dc2580b3701

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $384,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $498,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under	53c	100,000$52,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,499.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+84.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	42,595$20,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,081	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under	54c	24,691$13,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,357.8	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over	51c	19,457$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000.14	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Over	46c	19,263$8,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,860.75	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	15,906$8,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,352.36	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under	49c	9,853$4,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,024.87	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	47c	7,365$3,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,874.86	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under	48c	7,283$3,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,787.18	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	49c	6,476$3,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,171.36	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	5,438$2,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.63	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under	48c	4,140$1,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,152.99	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over	49c	4,080$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	43c	3,999$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.66	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over	49c	3,584$1,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	52c	3,092$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.74	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	23c	3,000$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.5	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over	39c	2,929$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.19	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	52c	2,502$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.82	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under	48c	2,444$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,271.04	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	47c	1,944$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.37	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	51c	1,934$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.11	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over	53c	1,898$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under	51c	1,870$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.3	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	42c	1,669$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.74	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Over	53c	1,579$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.82	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba79…4c9ebacked Over	53c	1,253$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	55c	1,253$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	50c	1,205$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.49	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ff…8357backed Over	53c	1,116$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	49c	1,029$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.12	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dd…7769backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	48c	965$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.2	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under	47c	918.97$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.97	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c8f…c146backed Over	52c	900.29$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over	58c	844.81$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	45c	800$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	47c	744.68$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under	50c	736.83$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.96	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over	48c	708.33$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	52c	615.38$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over	52c	602.47$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.29	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	52c	599.99$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	53c	569.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under	57c	543.18$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.87	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	48c	520.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…6ff7backed Under	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	54c	485.46$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.51	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Over	52c	480$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	46c	450$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.5	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	48c	449$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.52	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over	47c	440$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.6	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Over	49c	384$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.16	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	53c	376$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.28	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	53c	375.32$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.32	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	49c	366.67$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over	55c	363.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Under	48c	335.42$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Over	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Under	52c	299.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	51c	299.98$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.99	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	53c	296.23$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	50c	286.05$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.25	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…8428backed Under	65c	286$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	79c	285.66$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.99	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	49c	281.63$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	54c	262.37$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.68	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	43c	257.58$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Under	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	46c	253.7$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Over	39c	251.66$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	54c	250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	52c	240$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	46c	238.28$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.61	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x914a…7256backed Over	32c	216.86$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over	47c	215$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	202	46.5%94 W · 108 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event