TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad06…2dfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+50.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$448.25
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$9.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$28.25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$32.29
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$4.38
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+606.7%+$20,439.86
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$130.19
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$479.83
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,440
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250.1
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$107.93
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$249.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$588.81
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,402Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+455.6%+$24,608.17
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+253.8%+$3,500.6
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+222.6%+$621
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13,200.55
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+455.6%+$1,230
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$48.4
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$925
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,146.01
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.92
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$1,341.95
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.95
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,801Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.5%+$2,598.79
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$172.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.79
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.95
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,374.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$440
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$171.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.7%+$676.41
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,304.6
Will Trump say "Meta" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$165.09
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.1%+$797.27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$6,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$6,717.6
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11,597.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+534.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+534.7%+$133.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+90.9%+$13,926.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.6%+$1,001.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$185.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,979.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.