F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2706b6ce91b2fe8daf8a173547a84f8fbdb74403826b74d2c72be0c66f2ea73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 4c | 1,336$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes | 2c | 832.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 15c | 653.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 15c | 444.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 12c | 404$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 13c | 338.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…d5edbacked Yes | 14c | 324.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 7c | 279.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…c78dbacked Yes | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 198.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…12b9backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…e422backed Yes | 18c | 150.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…1f7bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…6191backed Yes | 14c | 121.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 13c | 101.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 99.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…bb56backed Yes | 16c | 99.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…7aa4backed Yes | 23c | 68.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 59.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.