F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1676202ba21816e1f47a590e4328109489cadef31aa0d7e463e2cf20bf399c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 69c | 2,250$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,339$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…d937backed Yes | 38c | 954.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…fdd7backed Yes | 30c | 878.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 62c | 800.43$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…d960backed Yes | 29c | 751.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 71c | 630$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 67c | 458.15$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Yes | 29c | 420.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 78c | 388.57$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 74c | 327.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 23c | 266.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 175.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 26c | 172.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 26c | 137.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 73c | 135.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…c78dbacked Yes | 28c | 135.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 74c | 128.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 123.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…1f7bbacked Yes | 29c | 118.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…12b9backed Yes | 52c | 105.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…e422backed Yes | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…d5edbacked Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 33c | 66.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…861dbacked Yes | 37c | 62.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…5ed1backed Yes | 50c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 43.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 46c | 40.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 72c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 67c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…68a8backed No | 71c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.