TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x332a…c9a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 67 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.74
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.3
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.91
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$112.95
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.55
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.83
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+365.7%+$616.5
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.49
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+757.3%+$492.15
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$3,615.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.77
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+492.9%+$1,536.38
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$7,156.05
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.96
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.8
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,633.06
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$1,297.58
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$14,629.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$909.94
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,424.99
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,974.88
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24,612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$8,902.3
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.63
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,869Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5,107.55
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+8.1wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+222.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brancaccio vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$6,123.99
Set Handicap: Poullain (-1.5) vs Binda (+1.5)backed Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.97
Kym vs. Houkes: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.15
Kym vs. Houkes: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,821.61
Jerome Kym vs. Max Houkes: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+725.8%+$1,624.3
Matej Dodig vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$2,130.51
Kotliar vs. Ristic: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$413.86
Ma vs. Ito: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$378.36
Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Smith (+1.5)backed Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$1,164.66
Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$1,564.44
Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+532.5%+$1,273.61
Kasatkina vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+900%+$740.32
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$287.08
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,498.5
ITF Gyula: Mate Valkusz vs Leyton Riverabacked Leyton Rivera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
ITF Gyula: Kolos Kincses vs Filip Drabbacked Kolos Kincses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.89
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$77
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+409%+$7,291.66
Antalya 2: Polina Kudermetova vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$144
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+492.9%+$877.61
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$658.29
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$691.57
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,582.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$828.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$227.93
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$4,782.5
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.73
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.71
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.61
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+324.5%+$1,041.08
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Slovan Bratislava beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$36.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.88
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$2,924.65
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300.2%+$316.71
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$553.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$439.15
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.62
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$225.24
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$179.83
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.4%+$1,302.05
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+72.5%+$514.09
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+220.3%+$71.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+135.4%+$2,129.39
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,513.76
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$383.67
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$103.79
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$737.56
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$719.99
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+225.5%+$305.54
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.7%+$785.16
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.3%+$6.45
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$131.86
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$37.44
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$950.57
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$628.57
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+270.1%+$493.35
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.32
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$436.1
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.65
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+213.9%+$2,287.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+85.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.59per pick16cpaid+290.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$344.03
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$107.1
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.51
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$127.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$238
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.