TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swedenof Sweden, Slovakia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Slovakia20c22,360$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,365.452128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3813…d55bbacked Slovakia0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Slovakia16c11,656$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Slovakia16c8,088$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.17128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Slovakia16c7,846$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.352634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467c…8c89backed Slovakia25c5,460$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Sweden75c3,189$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Slovakia16c3,073$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Slovakia4c2,865$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.293941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sweden78c2,222$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd78…837bbacked Slovakia15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…bfbdbacked Slovakia17c1,649$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Slovakia20c1,610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Slovakia15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Sweden78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Slovakia17c1,044$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Slovakia17c1,029$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Slovakia16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Slovakia14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Slovakia14c976.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x070a…4d55backed Slovakia20c874.41$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Slovakia14c842.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Slovakia21c816.15$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+117.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Sweden78c779.23$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Slovakia25c665$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Slovakia16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Slovakia16c612.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Slovakia10c611.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Slovakia17c604.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…5b3cbacked Slovakia17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Slovakia17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Slovakia26c580.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Slovakia24c554$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.741546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9b…2e4ebacked Slovakia12c515.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd67b…2394backed Slovakia12c509.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Slovakia15c499.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.835318.9%10 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Sweden78c487.31$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145c…7afcbacked Slovakia17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa224…8c93backed Slovakia16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sweden78c454$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.162832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sweden70c415.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.722437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Slovakia24c403.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55516.4%9 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8df1…c66cbacked Slovakia15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Slovakia16c299.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Slovakia16c299.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47120%0 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Slovakia15c293.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sweden77c280.56$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.952740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Sweden74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Slovakia18c254.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fb…fb80backed Sweden79c252.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a7…dcc7backed Slovakia7c241.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb1…fb84backed Slovakia26c240$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcec…0df2backed Slovakia26c211.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…7323backed Slovakia18c206.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Slovakia17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9204…7bd5backed Sweden78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…7f1dbacked Slovakia16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Slovakia17c193.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Slovakia23c186.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fb…c058backed Slovakia16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Slovakia15c179.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Sweden79c178.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.973823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Slovakia17c170.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Slovakia16c155.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.881040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d8…aa1ebacked Slovakia16c149.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db7…73cdbacked Slovakia17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Slovakia22c146.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.151618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Slovakia16c143.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2350%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Slovakia17c139$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Slovakia15c132.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Sweden75c130.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Sweden77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Slovakia17c128.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Sweden79c126.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Slovakia12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0e…73ecbacked Slovakia16c121.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x841d…b631backed Slovakia17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Slovakia17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb85…510abacked Slovakia17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Slovakia16c113.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.378535.3%30 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Slovakia16c111.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…74dbbacked Slovakia17c109$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef65…24dbbacked Sweden72c101.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Slovakia27c101.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7244…3ea4backed Slovakia17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Slovakia15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b18…ab72backed Slovakia23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Slovakia15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69cf…ca78backed Slovakia20c98.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Slovakia15c97.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.09850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8c46backed Slovakia17c94.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sweden80c89.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299c…f33abacked Slovakia17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sweden73c87.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.162725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-62.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x844c…c370backed Slovakia18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Sweden77c82.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1b…14adbacked Slovakia16c82.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805b…be54backed Slovakia19c80.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19c5…511dbacked Slovakia25c80.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Slovakia14c79.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.