TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd67b…2394

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.44
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.12
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.1
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$399.06
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$130.46
Will Girona beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$70.94
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Poland beat Finland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Portugal beat Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+25%+$5
Will Poland beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+77.3%+$15.47
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+63%+$189.14
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+33.3%+$4.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.12
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$66.24
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$63.6
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$199
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.68
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
World Championships: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$125.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$50.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.76
Ethereum all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+358.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+358.2%+$1,881.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+48%+$19.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.