Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6e5548463ad7a8cf178e663e83673931c9a630da74912841a4fe820e1ed961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 34c | 10,719$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 7,227$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.79 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 34c | 5,870$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 67c | 5,202$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.61 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,170$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 66c | 4,766$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.42 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 4,602$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.73 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 78c | 4,227$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.72 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 3,628$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.12 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 3,037$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 17c | 2,048$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.61 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 68c | 1,845$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,559$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,432$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 66c | 1,259$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 36c | 999.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 3c | 960$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 921.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 907$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 34c | 848.03$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 32c | 808.09$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 761.55$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Yes | 16c | 736$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed No | 68c | 676.47$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…325fbacked Yes | 34c | 645.24$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 606$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…3c02backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 576$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 4c | 540.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 64c | 532.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 65c | 494$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 68c | 456.66$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 34c | 427.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 79c | 372.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 39c | 360.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 34c | 360.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…815ebacked Yes | 9c | 335.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 333.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 33c | 305$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 33c | 302.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 68c | 295.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 38c | 260.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…9901backed Yes | 33c | 237.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 11c | 221.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 70c | 214.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…3b81backed Yes | 28c | 214.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…6b64backed Yes | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…5783backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 67c | 147.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…6bf3backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 67c | 104.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 10c | 101.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…f3cabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…478cbacked Yes | 12c | 95.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 68c | 92.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…7c8abacked No | 69c | 85.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…eebfbacked No | 69c | 77.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…e77bbacked Yes | 40c | 76.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…aa70backed No | 69c | 75.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 31c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 34c | 66.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…a64bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Everton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.