TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2e7…35b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT6960.9%42 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$800.7
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.23
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$148.02
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$369
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$369.22
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.35
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$100.33
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$188
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT6944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$199
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$100.91
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$336.11
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$121.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$528.05
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$100.66
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$254.55
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$40.67
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$57.33
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+568.6%+$99.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.13
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$266.46
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$99.94
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$185.32
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$66.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$193.54
Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will AC Milan beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+25%+$20
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$26
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Arsenal beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+112.8%+$79.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$416.33
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$159.62
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+49.3%+$35.76
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+100%+$40
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$51.8
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$25.1
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$72
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$52
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+54.1%+$70.25
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$21.5
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$48
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$274.81
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$100.88
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$256.29
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+50.8%+$203.73
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$150.46
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$380.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$141.95
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$39.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+177.8%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+102.8%+$54.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+48.1%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+41.8%+$208.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$104.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$214
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$71.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.