TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,030,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,121,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 863 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1056…2afabacked Suns37c96,977$35,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,881.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee5…73c6backed Grizzlies63c96,012$60,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,524.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns20c59,208$12,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,086.4447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…6613backed Grizzlies63c51,012$32,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,874.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+105.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6186…2b98backed Suns37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies73c46,751$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,7511,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Grizzlies64c38,324$24,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,816.925379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Grizzlies78c26,041$20,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.834575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns14c23,068$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.6334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Suns42c18,010$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,496.628343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns32c17,002$5,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,413.1433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Suns13c13,881$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.693528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Suns13c13,779$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8526229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Grizzlies61c12,578$7,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,912.7114563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Suns36c12,468$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.811834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Suns13c11,918$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Suns37c9,891$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.13450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns38c9,600$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.71,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies65c9,285$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns37c8,778$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.4777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a3…24bdbacked Suns37c7,000$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Suns37c6,492$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.9717348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Suns36c5,718$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.0114161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Suns36c5,526$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.1724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies72c5,191$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.5536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Suns39c5,099$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Suns28c5,019$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.6861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Suns40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ed…5ec1backed Grizzlies63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns20c4,860$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Suns34c4,788$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.679534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies61c4,652$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.281,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Suns36c4,416$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.6750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Suns39c4,069$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.3587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Grizzlies63c3,968$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.2510533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Suns37c3,565$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9717047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns37c3,496$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.641,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Suns40c3,491$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.276943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns4c3,425$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.48783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Suns39c3,376$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37bf…fa3fbacked Grizzlies74c3,324$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Suns42c3,244$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.2812540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Suns24c3,223$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Suns36c2,927$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.384452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Suns3c2,898$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.233444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Suns39c2,783$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.294344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Grizzlies65c2,674$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9364165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns34c2,599$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Grizzlies65c2,594$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.5825865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Grizzlies62c2,583$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.5343653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns1c2,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.154573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.831,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies63c2,439$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.6530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns40c2,427$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.8985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Suns37c2,382$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.7673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies68c2,380$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns17c2,309$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies62c2,217$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.5496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…939cbacked Grizzlies65c2,212$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns37c2,130$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0820238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ae…0e43backed Grizzlies63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+96.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6ba…1c54backed Grizzlies65c1,889$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Grizzlies65c1,882$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.382070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Suns35c1,667$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Grizzlies62c1,610$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.71376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grizzlies64c1,565$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0916261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Grizzlies64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.53666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Grizzlies64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Grizzlies62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Suns37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies64c1,499$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.7633945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns39c1,422$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.921,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Suns28c1,408$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Grizzlies73c1,382$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.073100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c8…8089backed Suns15c1,360$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies63c1,325$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies69c1,313$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.561,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns38c1,306$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Suns3c1,288$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8610720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Suns15c1,256$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7614034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies59c1,219$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.521,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns35c1,204$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.281,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies71c1,200$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.116139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies63c1,159$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Suns39c1,149$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0827642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Suns10c1,051$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Suns38c1,028$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8827840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Suns16c1,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6127739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Suns25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Suns36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Grizzlies64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.528651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…57dcbacked Suns16c915.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.92910.3%3 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Suns36c913.88$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.997636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Suns9c910.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0836514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Grizzlies57c875.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8615656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Suns38c870$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.162349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns37c810.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.061,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1322…89c7backed Suns37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.