TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4dc2…0933

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111.37
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$451.76
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$97.08
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$777.05
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48.74
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+140.1%+$194.02
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$261.75
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+218.4%+$2,343.46
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$883.14
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.1%+$314.57
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.9%+$1,050.71
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$693.98
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81.51
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$376.75
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$290.72
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+271.1%+$833.5
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+344.6%+$724.22
Will António José Seguro win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$150.78
Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$217.82
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$228.65
Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71.9
Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+318.9%+$412.24
Will António José Seguro win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$107.34
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$158.6
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$355.81
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+102%+$105.54
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32.57
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA 2K26 Summer League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA 2K26 Summer League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$3
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA 2K26 Summer League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
NBA Finals G1: Thunder win and SGA scores 34+ points? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.37
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.7
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.97
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25%+$217.55
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+55%+$667.38
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$507
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$389.35
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$168.35
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$430.98
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$548.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$884.41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,695.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,356.99
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,593.15
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,631Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,631.63
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$43.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$555.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$151.99
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$22.69
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$456.59
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.5%+$79.28
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$307.64
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.09
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$496.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$1,551.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.44
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.2
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46.2%+$120
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$464.91
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.1%+$507.5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.5%+$51.85
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$287.37
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$1,513.72
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.68
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$147
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$55.48
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.25
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,608
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$53.58
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43%+$2,373.45
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$218.13
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.8%+$81.82
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+36.2%+$108.11
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.7%+$82.25
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$59
Monterrey vs. Inter Milan: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$678.3
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,348.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$417.4
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$127.7
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$71.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.16
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$115.83
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.6%+$6.44
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26%+$52.05
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+199.2%+$300.98
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.65
Will "Finding Her Edge" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.25
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.9%+$76
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$119.46
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+522.7%+$128.43
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+32.2%+$126.88
Will "Free Bert" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$53.83
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$106.07
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.46
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$82.8
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$280
F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$54.87
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.21
F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$28.58
F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Russell backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
F1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$170.13
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$42
Norris vs. Piastribacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$259.18
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$252.72
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$309.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+109.7%+$3,210.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$43.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$84.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$50.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+54.2%+$242.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcolbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$284.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. national debt hit $37 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+31.9%+$294.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.