NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b62e1839aad9147c74576f2cbc7b609b871627ec4510c6e8311b935bcfa240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 17,920$12,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.87 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Suns | 31c | 17,351$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.96 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Suns | 0c | 15,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 63c | 7,364$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.94 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 36c | 7,100$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Suns | 13c | 6,216$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.72 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Suns | 2c | 5,975$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 38c | 5,050$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suns | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Suns | 14c | 4,596$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.02 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 62c | 4,500$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 74c | 4,432$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Suns | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 67c | 3,769$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.77 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 16c | 3,658$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Suns | 33c | 3,123$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.37 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 2,481$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Suns | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Suns | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Suns | 35c | 1,974$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.89 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,770$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…6d5dbacked Suns | 2c | 1,716$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Suns | 10c | 1,616$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked Suns | 3c | 1,612$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Suns | 27c | 1,510$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.22 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…a566backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,504$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 4c | 1,466$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Suns | 28c | 1,424$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,254$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.97 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 17c | 1,157$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Suns | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Suns | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 37c | 999.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 1c | 991.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns | 38c | 922.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Suns | 34c | 916.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Suns | 38c | 916.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 68c | 759.14$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 703$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 36c | 604.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nuggets | 69c | 600.97$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Suns | 26c | 584.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…00aabacked Suns | 23c | 581.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 64c | 538.73$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 30c | 524$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets | 65c | 523.48$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Suns | 32c | 499.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Nuggets | 63c | 495.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 16c | 490$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 485.88$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Suns | 39c | 482.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Suns | 38c | 478.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Suns | 11c | 459.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Nuggets | 74c | 420.48$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Suns | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Suns | 14c | 401.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…f346backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…1ebabacked Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…748cbacked Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Nuggets | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…1054backed Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…4c08backed Nuggets | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…4b11backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…bfcfbacked Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed Nuggets | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…408cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…1be8backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…08b2backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…13d5backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…2762backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…3273backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…2427backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…4be3backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…1541backed Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…eab3backed Nuggets | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…4358backed Suns | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…61cdbacked Suns | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…c265backed Nuggets | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.