TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x997b…801e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
660
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT46131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 461 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$538.35
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$11,561.99
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.63
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$205
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$445.05
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$566.09
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$562.81
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$802.31
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$802.32
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$770.92
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$750.09
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045.45
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$384.98
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$986.71
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160.84
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$986.71
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,162.89
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$352.07
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,203.28
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,046.41
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,046.41
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$896.44
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.79
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,374.94
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+208.5%+$2,883.07
Showing 25 of 461 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT9440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.26
Atalanta BC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+105%+$67.92
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.27
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.43
Como 1907 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.38
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed US Sassuolo Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$77.63
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,637.75
Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.83
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$34.44
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will AC Milan vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+322.8%+$366.32
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.86
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.06
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$384.78
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.84
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$22.94
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$11.95
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.82
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.62
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$52.44
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$60.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.28
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$146.91
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,140.35
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$678.41
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.75
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.82
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.69
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104.05
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.43
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$219.59
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$33.86
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.4
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$116.77
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$27.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.94
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,742.35
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.35
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+274.7%+$95.6
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,413.7
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$28.19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.07
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$83.7
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$81.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$108.09
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$638.4
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$71.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$30.29
Will HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.15
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.5
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64.35
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+113.1%+$543.51
Will HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51.87
Will NK Celje win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$87
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+270.4%+$74.17
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.8%+$236.24
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.94
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.73
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26%+$494.95
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,726.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$2,352.17
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$18.62
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$2,752.47
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$663.8
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65%+$16.44
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$985.36
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,907.44
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$78.72
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$102.96
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$780
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.4
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.98
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$217.35
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.38
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.78
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$1,296.16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$364.2
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$95.5
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.05
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.01
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+198.8%+$2,860.36
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,810Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+175.2%+$6,675.42
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$145.76
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.54
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$1,644.13
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.98
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.35
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$5,727.97
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.53
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.26
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,514.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.