Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa247e017ffb5c715043c1c0ea85f9dabce487260f872b552c1f0c55b7d2952ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,953 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,254$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 40c | 493.92$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 51c | 483.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 50c | 212.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 8c | 151.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 54c | 139.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 49c | 132.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 130.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 51c | 112.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 72.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 51c | 66.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4bdbbacked No | 60c | 34.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 41c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC leading at halftime?this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Draw at halftime?No won
- Hellas Verona FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.