Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d84b3a1274130ccdfb612a230849934f11d15adb7268be644c2e1a9ea70e029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 13,200$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 7,055$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 72c | 5,958$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 31c | 2,635$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 51c | 2,450$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 53c | 2,153$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 77c | 1,913$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.06 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,610$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.89 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 28c | 1,399$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.28 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 16c | 1,244$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.06 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 19c | 1,039$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.87 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 973.95$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.66 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 899.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 23c | 681.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.16 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 677.71$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 527.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 2cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 30c | 385.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 19c | 321.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 28c | 181.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 57c | 180.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 48c | 147.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 109.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 71c | 100.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 31c | 93.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 69c | 85.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 29c | 74.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Over | 49c | 73.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 30c | 67.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 43c | 66.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 28c | 63.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 31c | 54.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 28c | 54.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Over | 39c | 52.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Under | 71c | 48.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 46.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 30c | 40.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…1f95backed Under | 53c | 36.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 32.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 52c | 31.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked Over | 47c | 26.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 52c | 21.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Under | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.