Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee13eae88b8b7808f722d1262141e5f50e9bf21f62539749b16b5b0be3d734a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,333 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 5,543$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 42c | 2,616$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,181$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 1,122$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.81 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 44c | 864.48$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.11 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 747.6$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 44c | 731.32$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 44c | 643.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 45c | 524.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 45c | 442.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.54 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 38c | 386.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 57c | 341.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 331.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 73c | 328.33$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 302.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 44c | 247.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 45c | 223.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 214.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 43c | 207.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 49c | 203.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 41c | 199.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 13c | 135.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 129.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 42c | 109.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…86dfbacked Yes | 47c | 105.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 53c | 94.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…fe55backed Yes | 45c | 94.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 90.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 85.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 62c | 80.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed No | 56c | 79.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 45c | 77.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 54c | 73.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 65.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed No | 57c | 57.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 48c | 52.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 57c | 46.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 39.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 45c | 32.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 47c | 31.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 28.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed No | 55c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 43c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.