TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Torino FCof AC Milan, Torino FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,091 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked AC Milan46c172,537$79,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,367.178743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed AC Milan47c118,976$55,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,918.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Torino FC54c117,524$63,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,061.222748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Torino FC53c114,917$60,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,010.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked AC Milan45c51,643$23,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,011.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Torino FC57c31,621$17,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,672.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Torino FC54c23,322$12,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,767.0298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Torino FC54c22,903$12,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,535.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Torino FC56c12,441$6,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed AC Milan0c11,092$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Torino FC55c4,692$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Torino FC55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Torino FC54c2,754$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Torino FC54c2,570$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.222133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed AC Milan46c2,392$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Torino FC55c1,810$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Torino FC56c1,246$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked AC Milan36c1,242$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.95935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Torino FC54c1,120$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Torino FC55c1,087$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.091258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed AC Milan45c1,007$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AC Milan21c990.12$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Torino FC55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.759652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Torino FC55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3157558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Torino FC55c697.71$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.719542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Torino FC55c681.82$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Torino FC55c634.46$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.519137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed AC Milan47c590.55$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Torino FC55c540.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Torino FC55c499.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Torino FC24c479.79$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.329440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Torino FC54c456.77$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6842347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Torino FC55c428.78$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed AC Milan24c414.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Torino FC54c367.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.893177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Torino FC55c353.12$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.94472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Torino FC56c348.75$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.451668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Torino FC56c327.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.14254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed AC Milan46c297.39$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.86043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Torino FC55c286.31$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Torino FC55c281.9$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Torino FC56c278.13$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.381060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Torino FC54c275.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked AC Milan49c252.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9116526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Torino FC56c230.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3623244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked AC Milan44c226.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked AC Milan47c221.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.12875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+102%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked AC Milan46c215.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1313636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed AC Milan47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed AC Milan47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Torino FC54c198.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Torino FC51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.245135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Torino FC54c194.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4211136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Torino FC54c188.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Torino FC53c185.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.651822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Torino FC55c180.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.226262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Torino FC55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d2…bac3backed Torino FC55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Torino FC55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed AC Milan46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9827226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Torino FC54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Torino FC55c151.73$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed AC Milan46c150.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed AC Milan47c149.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.382528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd985…1125backed Torino FC56c133.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Torino FC55c121.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.553743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Torino FC56c121.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked AC Milan46c120.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed AC Milan45c108.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Torino FC53c108.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed AC Milan47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Torino FC55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Torino FC55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.332552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Torino FC53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Torino FC56c99.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.629257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Torino FC54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.224146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed AC Milan51c88.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.326349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Torino FC54c87.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Torino FC54c82.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked AC Milan49c78.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.967252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed AC Milan45c77.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2113447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Torino FC54c76.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked AC Milan42c73.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.176863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Torino FC55c72.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked AC Milan23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed AC Milan43c66.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Torino FC56c63.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0524955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked AC Milan47c63.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Torino FC54c62.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…60f7backed Torino FC55c61.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f91…6ffcbacked Torino FC55c61.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Torino FC56c56.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc9…e2aabacked AC Milan47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked Torino FC55c49.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…c0bfbacked Torino FC55c49.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Torino FC38c46.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5623345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Torino FC55c44.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.075267.3%35 W · 17 L+9.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed AC Milan46c43.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Torino FC59c42.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked AC Milan47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.