TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe3c…c0bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$18.71
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$18.39
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$8.25
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.93
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.42
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.5
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.54
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.6
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.03
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.44
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$79.31
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.23
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$14.83
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$27.51
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$21.33
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.58
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.28
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.66
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.37
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.15
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.31
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.86
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.93
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.09
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$12.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$22.22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$53.67
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$18.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$20.48
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed OGC Nice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44%+$4.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.