Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb504fd1e042c9e34fd95c6190ee667424e4bcfc2c248cdd0d25e37d44ffb08f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 4,733$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.45 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 3,441$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.58 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 63c | 3,380$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.16 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,111$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 30c | 3,098$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.41 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 29c | 2,792$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.66 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 29c | 1,835$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.96 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,791$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.66 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 73c | 1,707$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,554$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.52 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 1,503$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.05 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.81 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 1,486$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 64c | 1,475$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.3 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…8427backed Yes | 57c | 1,359$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 1,240$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.97 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 1,234$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,195$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 1,066$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,019$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.62 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 33c | 979.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.47 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes | 68c | 881.68$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Yes | 57c | 830.91$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 79c | 763.29$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 60c | 734.94$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed Yes | 71c | 700.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 28c | 644.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 535.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 76c | 513.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 69c | 459.33$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 41c | 453.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 71c | 422.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 31c | 418.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 415.35$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 30c | 367$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 360.26$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed No | 71c | 352.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9316…541ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…bafbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 332.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 29c | 327.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 11c | 312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 71c | 311.22$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 308.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 297.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 292.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 23c | 290.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 17c | 267$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 243.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b52…135bbacked No | 53c | 229.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 74c | 228.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Yes | 29c | 226.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 205.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 73c | 202.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 49c | 195.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 30c | 195.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 31c | 189.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 77c | 188.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 29c | 188.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 38c | 183.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 176.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…2309backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 171.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 72c | 169.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 156.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 21c | 153.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 151.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbd4backed Yes | 31c | 142.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…3269backed Yes | 29c | 139.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0c05backed Yes | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 70c | 136$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Yes | 74c | 134.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…1991backed Yes | 29c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0391backed Yes | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed No | 71c | 132.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 71c | 131.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 77c | 123.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 17c | 118.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Morocco vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.