TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1ba…3bcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$40.41
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.1
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.05
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$989.56
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$539.33
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.43
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$539.33
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$68.94
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.92
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$311
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.36
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$55.43
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.68
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,117.7
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$719.22
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.13
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$161.2
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.42
Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.42
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.03
Will Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$297.97
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.9
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$221.61
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$81.01
Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$138.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$900.91
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.18
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$436.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+148.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+331.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+292.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$134.75
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.