TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-03-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes50c30,000$14,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,968.641376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+48.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes0c19,970$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.974017.5%7 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No47c7,612$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.2922555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes57c6,646$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.022623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No44c5,314$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.251782.4%14 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+85.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes66c4,725$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.824650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c4,676$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.5889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c4,317$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.395,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes54c3,726$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.061921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No49c2,300$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.8226749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c2,055$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.9884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No47c1,068$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.475949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51016856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c518.4$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.151,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes44c507.87$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.143925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c505.87$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2462652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c496.67$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8753148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c458.3$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No49c434.05$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.412750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No43c400.28$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3149044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes54c399.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes47c396.21$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c390.06$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes51c389.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c380.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes60c355.39$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.952045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17517757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Yes50c305.64$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes50c300.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48560%3 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick16cpaid+275%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed No46c269.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes17c267$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+331.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes78c256.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes56c222$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.115358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed No42c207.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes48c205.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.379552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No50c203.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5139058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yes50c201.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes53c187.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes16c183.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341957.9%11 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick16cpaid+242.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xaa7d…84c1backed Yes57c170.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No47c160.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.067628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No50c144.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4714557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x247f…a926backed Yes38c133.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No50c128$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c126.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes44c108.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4418542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…0026backed No53c105.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes48c103.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No40c102.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.792147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No50c95.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7311654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No51c86.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed No46c86.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No21c82.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5472144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…f879backed Yes53c77.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.