TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7413…f879

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$10.94
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$18.4
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Wuning: Blake Ellis vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$14.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.91
Wuning: Tom Paris vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$20.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.43
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$22.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$16.61
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$17.93
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.