TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3d4…884ebacked Beijing Ducks30c26,221$7,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,317.895642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers69c17,007$11,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,702.9916828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Beijing Ducks53c13,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.976346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks24c7,714$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,831.3454251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks18c5,628$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.4743543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers49c4,506$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.266246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Guangdong Southern Tigers67c4,092$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.5536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Beijing Ducks64c3,133$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.122846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Guangdong Southern Tigers48c3,089$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers48c3,070$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Beijing Ducks28c3,038$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Beijing Ducks54c2,801$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.712842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Guangdong Southern Tigers54c2,708$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Beijing Ducks51c2,588$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Beijing Ducks28c2,484$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Beijing Ducks57c1,828$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers43c1,578$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.8324430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c1,565$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Beijing Ducks50c1,537$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers44c1,424$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.519946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks26c1,308$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96635234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers39c1,221$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.284427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c1,174$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e4…0398backed Guangdong Southern Tigers45c1,142$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Beijing Ducks26c1,127$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Guangdong Southern Tigers48c1,037$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.352030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers47c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4654148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1a…3538backed Beijing Ducks51c959.03$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Beijing Ducks50c910.27$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.422825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Beijing Ducks56c899.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.481258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Beijing Ducks61c854.25$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers73c804.43$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.295541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Guangdong Southern Tigers80c745.86$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Guangdong Southern Tigers42c708.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Ducks29c671.12$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.925517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers45c665.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers45c664.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Ducks53c628.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9234344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Beijing Ducks19c627.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.782050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Guangdong Southern Tigers64c617.04$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.17887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers43c614.7$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.322941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Beijing Ducks57c609.1$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.862030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed Guangdong Southern Tigers47c604.42$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Guangdong Southern Tigers78c598.77$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers45c571.03$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0712042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.38453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers76c552.83$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers41c535.74$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Beijing Ducks51c532.5$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.921650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Beijing Ducks50c512.5$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.254953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Beijing Ducks67c500$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.483455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Guangdong Southern Tigers41c499.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.975721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Ducks44c499.35$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Beijing Ducks41c483.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Guangdong Southern Tigers46c482$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.877462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Beijing Ducks51c475.71$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers73c462.77$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers69c448.29$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Beijing Ducks59c428.8$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.481662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers47c425.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Beijing Ducks44c418.18$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.189100%9 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+99.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers45c407.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8122231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers37c401.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Beijing Ducks18c400$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.510736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks60c392.8$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.058760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers45c380.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Beijing Ducks39c374$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5810941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3050…bcf1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers42c365.91$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Guangdong Southern Tigers43c357$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.271844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Guangdong Southern Tigers40c321.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Beijing Ducks24c317.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+194.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c315$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers66c314.13$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.672751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Guangdong Southern Tigers66c303.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.125240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Guangdong Southern Tigers70c301.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+310.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Beijing Ducks55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Beijing Ducks61c299.97$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1728…62b2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers62c299$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.621478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Guangdong Southern Tigers39c286.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.828936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Beijing Ducks56c285.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Beijing Ducks20c283.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Guangdong Southern Tigers78c282.88$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.282045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Beijing Ducks36c276.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.944920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Beijing Ducks21c268.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.061931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f09…969cbacked Beijing Ducks58c260.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Guangdong Southern Tigers46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Beijing Ducks36c223.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Beijing Ducks52c216.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.891957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers67c214.81$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.942733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers67c213$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.573135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Beijing Ducks49c203.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.194434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Beijing Ducks23c203$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Ducks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Beijing Ducks57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+120.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Beijing Ducks61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Guangdong Southern Tigers39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782548%12 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid+49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.