TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb673…d240

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,762.35
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.25
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.28
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.81
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$762.88
England to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$971.58
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$541.4
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.53
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,227.11
Panama vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.5
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.3
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$714
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.4
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.66
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.25
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,227.07
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.96
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$226.51
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$368.59
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)backed TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$195.41
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$115.35
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$156.41
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.58
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$258.68
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$263.38
Map Handicap: TdU (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.47
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$677.22
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Ølgod Efterskole (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Ølgod Efterskole · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$613.07
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.04
Counter-Strike: bankaPEPSI vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.65
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$80.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$368.98
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$322.05
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.87
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$128.48
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$581.94
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310.38
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)backed Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.21
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.65
Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)backed Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$394.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$233.1
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.48
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.03
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$503
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.83
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$874.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$143
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.