Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3126f9844dc957d14704f811d18c7529501d776f012e6487f97d2b11fca7b26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 0c | 112,420$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 0c | 41,580$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 28,854$13,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,722.88 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 47c | 21,644$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,172.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 9,214$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 18c | 6,012$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.19 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.98 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 5,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 5,668$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.28 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 54c | 5,627$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.05 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 43c | 5,146$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 49c | 4,814$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,018$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.23 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,791$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.47 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…4dc0backed Yes | 19c | 2,423$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…6ef0backed Yes | 1c | 2,313$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 61c | 2,218$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 1,960$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.2 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 59c | 1,933$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.69 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 55c | 1,848$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,828$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.61 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 1,619$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.97 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 72c | 1,574$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 60c | 1,420$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 28c | 1,402$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 37c | 1,346$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,329$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 1,317$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,308$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 1,283$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.22 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…54bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 61c | 1,122$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 1,106$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,051$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +254.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 57c | 832.95$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.57 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 815.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 766.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 19c | 758.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…3881backed Yes | 61c | 716.2$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 62c | 714$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 30c | 650.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 647.05$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.93 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 65c | 638.29$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…2c09backed No | 50c | 634$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 18c | 627.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 72c | 623.18$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 41c | 622.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 618.68$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 603.04$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 41c | 488.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 472$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 462.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 67c | 445$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 20c | 445$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 20c | 437.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 34c | 418.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Yes | 16c | 343.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 24c | 342$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 57c | 341.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 60c | 325.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…8e81backed Yes | 32c | 319.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 307$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 302.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 73c | 292.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 47c | 289$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 18c | 280.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Yes | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 277.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Yes | 27c | 264$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 18c | 256.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…c4f6backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 19c | 240.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…755abacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Yes | 6c | 234.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 18c | 224.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 37c | 220.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…8e08backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 54c | 215.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.