TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0e6…51ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$81.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$101.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.9%+$101.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.92
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$39.92
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.2%+$29.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.6%+$21.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.1%+$10.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$20.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.24
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$45.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.6%+$34.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$122.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.4%+$294.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$266.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.82
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$44.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$184.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$84.71
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.51
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.91
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.23
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.95
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.9
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$26.73
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$4.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.