Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6271179284174e71b6d8065d9726e8dcef8c0618c3fb0f8ecfc3b1c2ffbe51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $761,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,197 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 111,189$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,188.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 28c | 69,900$19,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,853.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 32c | 35,520$11,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,366.16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 31c | 24,820$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,694.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 28c | 23,260$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 29c | 19,110$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 16,825$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.86 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 16,309$7,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,847.97 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 17c | 15,890$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,188.7 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 35c | 13,201$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.39 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 12,188$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.45 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 10,819$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.9 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 68c | 9,722$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.21 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 72c | 8,611$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked No | 4c | 8,053$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 71c | 7,293$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 32c | 7,092$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 29c | 4,795$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.86 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 4,585$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.52 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 4,264$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.13 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 71c | 4,102$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 49c | 3,563$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.01 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 43c | 3,458$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 30c | 2,956$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.51 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 55c | 2,414$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.73 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 2,171$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.62 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 2,044$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.27 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,970$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.7 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 1,951$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.27 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 17c | 1,714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.34 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 30c | 1,627$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 1,465$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.22 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 1,450$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.95 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…2965backed Yes | 40c | 1,424$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 1,112$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 1,005$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.07 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 34c | 999.93$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…422cbacked Yes | 41c | 900$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 32c | 784.26$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 69c | 762.88$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.98 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 51c | 759.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 725.35$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 32c | 599.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 65c | 599.05$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 31c | 582.12$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 32c | 572.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…4eb2backed Yes | 72c | 510.1$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 18c | 497.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 27c | 496.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 492.49$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 33c | 472.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 5c | 445.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 435$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 69c | 429$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 47c | 425.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 27c | 403.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed Yes | 33c | 380$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…2346backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 370$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 33c | 370$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…3383backed No | 33c | 369.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 54c | 359.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +197%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc791…63e7backed Yes | 72c | 345$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 68c | 338.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 34c | 334.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d9…1b2cbacked Yes | 72c | 331$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 47c | 329.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 31c | 329.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 68c | 326.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 30c | 318.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…1bf2backed Yes | 66c | 301.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.