Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b81d9deefb9ea9262eb2d5777895b87cbd8ef40b8d0812416639e745312947d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,178 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 24,260$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.26 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 10,514$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.47 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 19c | 7,835$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 12c | 7,293$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 11c | 5,376$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 5,106$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.13 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 11c | 4,102$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,882$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.78 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 62c | 2,627$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.42 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 14c | 1,787$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 79c | 1,510$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 1,325$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 14c | 846.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 12c | 837.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 53c | 832.72$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed No | 48c | 753$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 745.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 13c | 736.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 12c | 687.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa2…a4f3backed Yes | 15c | 678.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Yes | 46c | 598.04$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 594.71$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 578.26$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 44c | 563.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 483.68$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 482.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 13c | 408.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 50c | 400.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…422cbacked Yes | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 390.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 11c | 387.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Yes | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 24c | 320.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 12c | 309.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cf…80b0backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 12c | 264.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 27c | 250.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 36c | 247.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed No | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 237.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 13c | 226.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes | 13c | 221.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 76c | 197.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 195.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 13c | 186.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 19c | 175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 161.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…6002backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 149.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Yes | 12c | 125.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked No | 72c | 112.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 12c | 112.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 11c | 107.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 13c | 100.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 43c | 91.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…d2d1backed Yes | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.