TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89fe…8d55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.03
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$546
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.3
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.01
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.74
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Liam Draxlbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$141.6
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.39
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Miami Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$113.42
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Moez Echarguibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$127.35
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.06
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.55
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$218.85
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.3%+$199.69
BNP Paribas Open: Francesco Maestrelli vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+157%+$177.17
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,446.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$79.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$147.96
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$67.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$77.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$86.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.98
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.3
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.05
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$172.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$117.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$53.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+269.4%+$555.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$103.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$74.76
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102.92
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$71.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$170.49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$63.72
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$103
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$127.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+203%+$125.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.